Hillary Clinton has won Kentucky by a large margin, but it's not enough. Based on the totally screwy, that's a sophisticated political term, Democratic system of apportioning delegates, even with tonight's 60% to 30% Clinton win, Obama continues to inch closer to the nomination by picking up 14 of Kentucky's delegates. How you lose a state by 30 points and still walk away with part of the prize is beyond logic. With the fiasco that has been this Democratic Primary, I'd venture to say there'll be some changes made by 2012.At the time of this post, Oregon's numbers are just starting to come in, but it looks like a solid Obama win, although the percentages are not yet clear.
If Roy Orbison were still alive, he'd be singing, It's Over". The momentum that is building for Obama is palpable, even through a computer screen. The photo of this week's rally in an Oregon park where he drew a crowd estimated to be between 60,000 to 80,000, more than at some NFL football games, said it all. The guy's on fire. Or is he....
According to a story posted on CNN.com, exit polling in Kentucky reflected similar feelings to those found in West Virginia; only 33% of those polled who voted for Hillary are, at this point, willing to vote for Obama. 41% said they'd vote for McCain, 23% said they would not vote. Those numbers spell real trouble in November.
Obama is going to have to do more than draw large crowds from his liberal base if he's going to win the Presidency; he's going to have to find a way to get poor, rural, white people to vote for him. And you can bet there are people out there who are going to be doing everything they can to prevent that from happening.
Driving home tonight, listening to conservative talk radio, something I don't do very often, I heard rumors, and innuendos about the Obama's that were close to libelous. I'm not going to repeat them because to do so is to perpetuate them. But if these tactics of subversion and suspicion are being used already, it's going to be a long General Election season.
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13 comments:
If George Bush could get elected, twice, without any smart people voting for him, I'm confident Barack Obama can get elected without the cracker vote.
Bill,
Remarks like that are exactly why the "cracker vote" is not relating to or supporting Barack Obama.
In most cases, this does not appear to be an issue of race but rather an issue of snobbery.
It say that no smart people voted for George Bush is demeaning and insulting.
i think there were many smart people who voted for Bush. Many at this point feel betrayed or let down. the question is how will these people respond this november? Some may just stay home is my guess.
Sorry, PV. I was trying to be humorous. But in a decidedly too partisan way. And it was before my day's first cup of coffee. In hindsight, I can see how you would find my comment insulting and demeaning. I'll strive to be more fair and balanced and less snobby in the future ...
Anon 1:41,
I agree; there are many who are disappointed in the Bush Presidency.
The morale in the Republican Party appears to be at an all time low, but I still wouldn't count on them staying home.
Once it comes down to a General Election contest of ideals, you may well see voters Republican voters reinvigorated and ready to re-engage.
Bill,
I didn't think that comment sounded like you: I'm pretty snarky myself before my first cup of Irish Breakfast Tea.
It seems now that the Democrats want to focus on defeating McCain but cannot do that while Clinton continues her losing battle.
PV, I wouldn't let me off this easy ;) but thanks, glad there's no hard feelings ... BV
AJ,
There seems little doubt that everyone is ready for this to end, including, probably Senator Clinton.
But there's just a few more Primaries to go. I admire her for staying till the end.
After such a hard fight, no one would want history to say that they "quit".
There was a very good op-ed today by Cohen of The Washington Post making the case that Hillary is now perfectly positioned for 2012 if Obama loses.
Bill,
I was feeling very magnanimous today; after several difficult months dealing with sick relatives and the healthcare system, I landed a really nice new assignment for a major broadcast entity.
I was so happy at the turn of events that even a snippy caffine-deprived Obama supporter couldn't upset me:-)
I'd like to see Edwards in office more than either candidate.
Hopefully between now and future elections he doesn't follow the same path as Al Gore.
I don't understand how Hillary has been able to reach out to working class white voters when she is so far removed from their situation. She earns more money than Obama, and has been for a looong time, and yet somehow there's this view that he's the elitist! This is mind-boggling. I think a lot of working class white voters (yes, this includes poor and rural) feel safer with Hillary because of her race. I think we can all see how unfortunate that is, regardless of your political leanings.
Hillary gave up any middle-class connections the minute she took her high-ranked position at Wal-Mart. She hasn't a clue. She may have a heart, but she doesn't know how to use it.
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